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We’re in a post-merge world, and the teachings preserve arriving. As it seems, the legendary Merge was a sell-the-news occasion for Ethereum. Technically, the occasion was successful and Ethereum stored a 100% uptime as optimistically predicted. Economically, the asset has been bleeding for the entire post-merge season. As a consequence, Ethereum misplaced floor towards bitcoin, and bitcoin dominance is again up.

Let’s go to Arcane Research’s The Weekly Update for the precise stats and numbers: 

“Since the merge, Ether (ETH) is down 17% in USD and down 13% compared to BTC, with ETHBTC currently trading at 0.07. ETH has found support at 0.07 ETHBTC, which represents the average ETHBTC price over the last 365 days.”

Will this change into a bent or are these simply the post-merge jitters? 

The Post-Merge Post-Mortem

For a rational evaluation, let’s quote The Weekly Update:

“Ether traded idly after the merge, and volatility remained low until U.S. markets opened down. The ETH blow was related to a correlated environment to risk assets, but excess leverage from long traders contributed to exacerbating Ether’s relative underperformance versus BTC.”

And the very fact of the matter is that the previous adage “buy the rumor, sell the news” applies completely right here. Fuelled by hype, Ethereum’s worth ballooned earlier than the occasion. It was nonetheless distant from its all-time excessive of round $4,8K, however $1.7K was nice for the market we’re in. The asset outperformed bitcoin and threatened its dominance. It was overbought, although. Post-merge, folks bought and ETH is now in a downtrend. Textbook habits that shouldn’t shock a soul.

The chart to look at, although, is that of Ethereum’s issuance. The predominant distinction between the post-merge Ethereum and its predecessor is that the brand new coin shall be rather more scarce. And that would have an effect on the worth tremendously.

ETH worth chart for 09/21/2022 on Bittrex | Source: ETH/USD on TradingView.com

State Of The Ethereum Forks

One of the drivers of the pre-merge rally was the expectation that there is perhaps forks and there is perhaps airdrops. Two model new Ethereum forks emerged from the messy scenario. Those two suffered probably the most throughout this post-merge interval. Back to The Weekly Update:

“Ether has not struggled in isolation, Ether forks have experienced severe headwinds, and both ETHW and Poloniex’s competitor fork EthereumFair (ETF) have seen more than two-thirds of their valuation slashed since launch.”

This brutal smackdown was to be anticipated. All forks generate one thing akin to an airdrop, as folks acquired the equal to the ETH that they had in ETHW and ETF. Users exchanged that free cash for tougher currencies fairly quick. And now it’s time for these forks, who the omnipotent stablecoins don’t assist, to show their price.

An older fork was additionally within the information due to the merge and has been struggling as a lot as its cousins. 

“Ethereum Classic has also underperformed versus ETH. Amid the merge, many miners migrated to ETC, leading ETC’s hashrate to peak at 300 TH/s. However, as the difficulty has increased in ETC, the hashrate in ETC has declined to 186 TH/s”

Some folks thought that Ethereum Classic, who stays a Proof-Of-Work blockchain, was going to thrive post-merge. So far, they’ve been confirmed incorrect. But we’re within the early innings and issues would possibly drastically change for previous dependable Ethereum Classic. 

ETHBTC worth chart on Binance | Source: The Weekly Update

Conclusions

Apparently, the merge was successful however the worth didn’t hear the information. However, we should always bear in mind that September is often a foul month for cryptocurrencies typically. That, blended with the basic “buy the rumor, sell the news” habits have ETH towards the ropes. For now.

Featured Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay | Charts by TradingView and The Weekly Update