Blog

The Bitcoin secure haven narrative could also be again as information exhibits the cryptocurrency’s correlation with Gold has surged in current months.

Bitcoin Correlation To Gold Has Increased During The Past Year

According to the newest weekly report from Glassnode, the correlation between the 2 belongings remained excessive through the current US banking disaster. The “BTC correlation to Gold” signifies how carefully Bitcoin is following the actions going down within the value of 1 troy ounce of Gold.

When the worth of this metric is detrimental, it means BTC is presently responding to actions within the value of Gold by touring in the wrong way. On the opposite hand, constructive values of the indicator indicate the 2 belongings are shifting in the same trajectory proper now.

Naturally, when the correlation is zero, it suggests there isn’t any sample concerning how the cryptocurrency and Gold are shifting relative to one another.

Now, here’s a chart that exhibits the pattern within the 30-day Bitcoin correlation to Gold, in addition to in its 90-day and 365-day variations, over the previous few years:

Looks like the worth of the metric has been fairly excessive in current days | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 16, 2023

The above chart makes use of the image “XAU,” however observe that this time period refers to 1 troy ounce of Gold right here and never the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index.

As displayed within the graph, the Bitcoin correlation to Gold didn’t present a lot sturdy constructive correlation through the bull run in 2021, because the metric had assumed detrimental values for an honest chunk of the interval.

Correlation additionally remained weak within the first few months of 2022, however issues began to alter because the bear market took maintain. In the final twelve months, the indicator has principally registered excessive constructive values, suggesting that the 2 belongings have turn into strongly tied throughout this era.

The FTX crash supplied one exception, nevertheless, because the indicator’s worth had turned deep purple across the time it passed off. Nonetheless, with the rally this yr, the belongings shortly turned strongly correlated once more, as all three MAs (30-day, 90-day and 365-day) obtained constructive values.

Gold has historically been thought-about a secure haven asset, whereas shares and BTC have usually been thought-about dangerous investments. With the correlation between Bitcoin and Gold changing into excessive just lately, it appears that evidently the Digital Gold narrative could also be making a comeback.

Interestingly, the correlation additionally remained excessive through the US banking disaster some time in the past, when establishments like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapsed and shook the market. This could also be additional proof of BTC being checked out in a greater mild just lately.

“This does suggest that an appreciation for both sound money and the realities of counter-party risk are increasingly front of mind for investors,” notes Glassnode.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling round $29,500, up 1% within the final week.

BTC appears to have plunged through the previous day | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured picture from Aleksi Räisä on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com