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Analysts from JP Morgan, an American multinational monetary company, have disclosed the potential for a major value correction in Bitcoin, predicting that the cryptocurrency may see its value drop to $42,000 after the Bitcoin halving event.  

Bitcoin Price Prediction Post Halving

While many crypto analysts foresee Bitcoin’s dramatic rise to new all-time following the extremely anticipated Bitcoin halving occasion, JP Morgan analysts have remained bearish. According to the analysts, an increase in manufacturing prices and mining difficulties may push the worth of BTC all the way down to $42,000 after the BTC halving occasion concludes.

The Bitcoin halving, which is a pre-programmed occasion that happens each 4 years goals to decrease inflation by lowering the quantity of recent BTC created. The “halving” refers back to the 50% discount within the rewards paid to BTC miners, leading to much less Bitcoin being mined, and a subsequent decrease in the supply of the cryptocurrency. 

Since BTC’s inception in 2009, there have been a complete of three halving occasions, with the primary occurring in November 2012, the second in July 2016, and the third in May 2020. The next Bitcoin halving event is scheduled for April 2024, and numerous projections point out a continuation of historic traits, foreseeing sustained value surges in BTC throughout this era. 

Across the final three halving cycles, BTC has witnessed exponential positive aspects, rising to new all-time highs as decreased provide elevated the cryptocurrency’s worth. Despite this reoccurring historical technical pattern, JP Morgan analysts have foreseen a bearish outlook for BTC, underscoring the pronounced influence a discount in mining profitability could have on the cryptocurrency’s value. 

“This $42,000 estimate is the level we envisage BTC prices drifting towards once Bitcoin-halving-induced euphoria subsides after April,” JP Morgan analysts said. 

At the time of writing, BTC is buying and selling at a report excessive of $61,565, reflecting a 20% value surge over the previous seven days, in response to CoinMarketCap. 

Tough Road Ahead For BTC Miners

JP Morgan analysts have disclosed that the halving occasion may tremendously impact Bitcoin miners main the mining sector to grow to be grossly concentrated. 

In their report, the analysts revealed BTC manufacturing prices as a decrease certain for costs, highlighting that post-halving manufacturing prices may probably surge to $53,000 and result in a 20% decline in Bitcoin’s network hash rate. This improvement may lead to fewer miners competing to supply BTC and subsequently have an effect on its value. 

Additionally, the JP Morgan analysts have revealed the potential for small mining companies to exit of enterprise, highlighting that following the occasion, Bitcoin mining rewards would scale back from 6.25 to three.125 BTC. This discount in mining profitability, added to the rise in mining difficulties, may negatively have an effect on how profitable the mining enterprise is, probably leading to quite a few non-public miners dropping out since prices could be considerably greater than profitability. 

BTC value at $61.900 | Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from CNN, chart from Tradingview.com